Statistics

The science of inference.

Good statistical thinking turns data into decisions. Whether you need to design a study, analyse results, build a model, or communicate findings to stakeholders — we can help.

M2Lab CSDS offers statistical consulting to research institutions, universities, healthcare organisations, and non-profits. Our work spans both Bayesian and frequentist approaches.

Michel also volunteers with the Royal Statistical Society’s Statisticians for Society pro bono programme, contributing statistical expertise to support civic and social research.

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Sample statistical visualisations — illustrating regression modelling and uncertainty quantification, the type of analyses M2Lab CSDS delivers.

Linear Regression

Observed data with OLS regression line — sample research data

Uncertainty Quantification

Model estimate with 95% confidence interval — sample forecast output

Featured research

New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue

Peer-reviewed perspective

Nature Climate Change 7, 697–703 (2017) · Benestad et al., including M. D. S. Mesquita

A perspective on how statistical thinking can improve the interpretation of climate model ensembles — extracting meaningful information from large multi-model experiments and supporting more efficient experimental design and uncertainty assessment.

Climate model ensemblesUncertainty quantificationExperimental designStatistical climatology
Read the perspective

Methods

Mathematical & statistical modelling
Bayesian statistics
Frequentist inference
Generalized linear models
Poisson & count-data models
Extreme value analysis
Time series forecasting
Probabilistic forecasting
Forecasting for FP&A and xP&A
Multivariate statistics
Uncertainty quantification
Reproducible research
AI-assisted statistical analysis
Scientific writing & peer review

Tools

R
Python
SQL
Quarto
R Markdown
Shiny
Pandas
SciPy
Numpy
Scikit-learn
Matlab
SPSS

Certification

Mesquita is certified by the Royal Statistical Society (United Kingdom) as a Chartered Statistician, Graduate Statistician, and Data Analyst — one of the most rigorous professional qualifications in statistics in the UK.

CStat — Chartered StatisticianGradStat — Graduate StatisticianData Analyst